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Modi in Iran: India's West Asia policy is as fragmented as the region itself

Ravi Joshi | Updated on: 10 February 2017, 1:50 IST

Prime Minister Narendra Modi has already visited the UAE (August 2015) and Saudi Arabia (April 2016) as part of his peripatetic quest to befriend world leaders and the Indian diaspora. And he is now scheduled to visit Iran and Qatar from 21 May. But what is the focus of our foreign policy towards West Asia.

Our ministers repeat endlessly that the region supplies two thirds of our energy needs (oil and gas), employs over 6 million Indians and accounts for over 110 billion dollars of trade. But our governments often convulse into action only when there are coups, wars (civil and proxy) and other disasters in the region, essentially to repatriate the stranded Indians back home. This certainly is no policy making and such efforts should be left to some well-oiled NGOs funded solely by the rich Indians living in the Gulf, as their Emergency Exit Fund. The government should provide only logistical assistance in the form of aircraft and ships to shift them out.

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Foreign policy is normally made in respect of individual countries on a bilateral basis and we therefore, do not have a policy towards the region as a whole. The MEA is structurally not designed to make a policy for the 'region', because a Joint Secretary (JS) can only handle a small cluster of countries and this region is divided between JS/Gulf and JS/WANA (West Asia and North Africa) with Iran, the most important power in the region being clustered with Pakistan and Afghanistan handled by JS/PAI.

India's policies are country specific. How should we handle transnational entities like Daesh?

Our Ambassadors too send their reports mainly to their respective desks and to more than one JS only when they report on their host country's relations with a neighbour. Now how does one Ambassador sitting in Cairo cover the activities of Muslim Brotherhood that is operating in 48 countries? That requires inputs from dozens of Ambassadors but which JS in MEA will compile it all and make sense of it. Same applies to our coverage of Al-Qaeda and the 'Daesh' (Islamic State) which are Pan-Islamic terrorist groups.

While foreign policy is essentially country-specific, it needs to have an underpinning in some 'world-view' that is either enunciated or implicitly conveyed through consistent support to certain principles or interests. It should also convey our approach to that region. We should be clear as to who we consider a 'power' in the region and who an inconsequential player.

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We may consider, quite rightly that Iran is a 'power' in the region (it is critical for our policy in Afghanistan and Pakistan) but the fact that Iran going nuclear was not in our interest was never stated by us but came about only after much prodding by the US and that too after we had signed the 'civil nuclear deal' with the Bush administration in 2005.

Could we not have enunciated our policy to Iran and the region, without being seen as succumbing to American pressure in discarding a long-standing ally? Our vote in the IAEA against Iran in late 2005 made us not only unreliable to Iran but also a suspect member in the Non-Aligned Movement (NAM) and G-77+China.

The NAM members saw us as having climbed on to the American bandwagon. That may not have been so, but perceptions do matter in relations between countries. An attempt to correct the impression was made by Prime Minister Manmohan Singh in attending the NAM summit at Tehran (August 2012), reportedly against the advice of the US administration, but by then the Indo-US Nuclear deal was already unraveling.

Lack of coherence

Our policy towards Saudi Arabia is as opaque as that country. Though it is our largest supplier of oil and the largest employer of Indians, we have nothing in common with them, either in the region or the world at large. We are neither happy with their proximity to Pakistan nor their hostility towards Iran. We do not endorse their sponsorship of Wahabism, nor their support to extremist/terrorist groups engaged in toppling stable and secular regimes in the region. Being a democracy we were averse to supporting monarchies in the Gulf against the dictatorships in Iraq, Libya and Syria, and we were certainly not in the business of toppling either form of political arrangement.

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Hence our unease with the efforts of the US, France and Britain in toppling the non-Sunni secular dictatorships, in the name of democracy and human rights, while keeping the despotic Sunni monarchies intact. Despite being the 'Righteous Republic' with an acute conscience, we have lost our friends one by one in the region. Iran does not trust us, Saudis do not need our advice and the ones that sought our help have all but gone.

Our policy towards Israel, largely shaped by the Nehruvian paradigm of supporting the underdog (the Palestinians) against an aggressor, is struggling to be re-shaped now, torn as it is between national interest v/s appeasement of Indian Muslims. Our relationship with Israel is far more complicated than the response of the Gulf Kingdoms towards Israel. They regularly send their contributions to the widows of the Hamas fighters without ever raising a voice against the atrocities of Israel.

Nor do they ever send their mercenary forces for a 'Jihad' against the Jewish state that they so despise, for they are busy killing their non-Sunni Muslim minorities in the region. India, that is neither pro-Israel nor anti-Israel, gets the raw end of the stick and appears worse off than the Gulf monarchies, even for its limited military deals with Tel Aviv.

The key problem with all these relationships is that they miss a commonality of interests, shared values or principles. They are essentially transactional, important nevertheless, but not critical enough to build strategic partnerships and face the region or the world together. How can India be on the same page as either Iran or Saudi Arabia or Israel in any forum, but we want to be friends with all. Yes, we want oil from Saudi Arabia and Iran and defence equipment from Israel but somehow we do not appear as pragmatic as China in crafting such a relationship.

Does our foreign policy have to be as fragmented as the region? Perhaps not. One could start by enunciating a few norms and guidelines - that we are against religious extremism of either sect, we are against terrorist groups threatening established states, we do not support redrawing of maps either by external force or by sponsored insurgencies and that we strongly condemn disproportionate use of force by the Israelis against unarmed civilians in Palestine. Is that too much to ask?

Edited by Aditya Menon

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First published: 12 May 2016, 6:45 IST
 
Ravi Joshi

Retired diplomat, presently a Visiting Fellow, Observer Research Foundation.