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Yin & yang: a quick guide to the yuan's dramatic fall

Saahil Parekh | Updated on: 13 February 2017, 3:40 IST
01
What's unique about the yuan?

  • China's currency system is different from most others. Called the "managed float" system, it prevents wide swings in the yuan's exchange rate by letting it fluctuate within a fixed band.
  • The dollar, euro and some other currencies, on the other hand, are freely traded.
  • India and many other nations tie their exchange rates to an "anchor currency" like the dollar to prevent abrupt swings.
  • Beijing tightly monitors the yuan and sets its value daily. It's allowed to move in a band of +/- 2%.

02
Why has China devalued it?

  • As per Beijing's forecasts, its currency should have fallen, not risen over the past few months. In fact, as the yuan was rising, other currencies were falling.
  • Since other nations have to buy the yuan to purchase Chinese goods, an expensive currency will hit the country's exports.
  • Traders will rather buy from nations whose exchange rates are lower. Indeed, as the yuan appreciated, China's exports plunged by 8.3% in July.
  • By devaluing its currency, China has protected its large export-based industry, which employs a lot of labour and often operates on paper-thin profit margins.

03
Will it affect India in any way?

  • The yuan's devaluation on 12 August sank the rupee to 65 against the US dollar, the weakest it has been since September 2013.
  • The rupee is more volatile and the markets jittery. There is fear that if the rupee keeps falling, inflation could rise again.
  • China is among India's top five export markets. Any economic slowdown in the country, therefore, will hurt Indian exporters.
  • Domestic manufacturers may also be hit: a weaker Yuan will make Chinese goods even cheaper in India.

First published: 13 August 2015, 7:12 IST
 
Saahil Parekh @saahilparekh

Saahil Parekh is an economist tracking developments in the energy sector, sustainability and climate change. He works at a think tank in New Delhi.

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