Coronavirus Aftermath: Scientists warn ‘social distancing likely to be followed until 2022’

It seems like coronavirus will leave its repercussion as a new study has warned that people likely to follow social distancing until 2022 to stop the further spread of coronavirus.

According to the study, social distancing could suppress the critical cases of COVID-19 to within hospital capacity, the infection will resurge once these measures are lifted, metro.co.uk reports said.

Researchers suggested that social distancing will also help hospitals in overcoming the disease if social distancing will be maintained intermittently into 2022.

The new modelling study indicates the total incidence of the virus through 2025 will depend crucially on the duration of human immunity - which scientists currently know little about.

Researchers claimed that longitudinal serological studies are required in a bid to determine the extent of population immunity.

Experts also think that COVID-19 will follow its closest cousin, SARS-CoV-1 and could be removed only if the public follows social distancing guidelines.

According to Stephen Kissler, a postdoctoral fellow at Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health, Grad Lab, department of immunology and infectious diseases, and colleagues, researched on data on other known human coronaviruses- assuming some cross-immunity between them and Sars-CoV-2 - to build a model of multi-year interactions.

Researchers used the model to calculate how long social distancing will be followed to prevent the spread of COVID-19 after looking at its potential dynamics over the next five years.

Scientists are claiming that the key factor modulating virus incidence in the coming years is the rate at which immunity dwindle. However, a scientist is yet to determine the duration of the coronavirus.

However, when the infections resurge, the social distancing measures will be followed.

Another scenario suggests a resurgence in COVID-19 could occur as far in the future as 2025.

The authors write in the Science journal: "Our goal in modelling such policies is not to endorse them but to identify likely trajectories of the epidemic under alternative approaches."

They say: "Additional interventions, including expanded critical care capacity and an effective therapeutic, would improve the success of intermittent distancing and hasten the acquisition of herd immunity.”

“Longitudinal serological studies are urgently needed to determine the extent and duration of immunity to Sars-CoV-2,” researchers said.

"Even in the event of apparent elimination, Sars-CoV-2 surveillance should be maintained since a resurgence in contagion could be possible as late as 2024."

Earlier, a US doctor Anthony Fauci told about the life after coronavirus and claimed that "I don’t think we should ever shake hands ever again, to be honest with you. "

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